Dundela vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
AUN
4 - 0
DUN
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
INS
2 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
BAN
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
5 - 1
DER
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
NEY
1 - 0
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
ARD
66%
19%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
INS
1 - 0
ARD
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |