Dundela vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
6º
6º
56
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AUN
4 - 0
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
LOU
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
DUN
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
0 - 0
DUN
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
5 - 1
ARD
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 2
ARD
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 0
WAR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 0
ARD
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 5
ARD
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |