UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-5
Dundee vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEL
0 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 1
KIL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 2
HIB
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLA
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
SUT
2 - 1
SME
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
SME
1 - 0
VOJ
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
SME
1 - 1
RAD
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
ZET
2 - 1
SME
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SME
0 - 3
CRV
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |