Dundee vs Ross County FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
9º
26
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 28 |
12º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
20% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GLA
1 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 1
MHE
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 1
HIB
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
STM
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HIB
3 - 1
ROS
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 3
GLA
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
5 - 0
ROS
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
MHE
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |