Dundee vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 0
ROS
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 0
STI
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 0
CWB
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 3
DUN
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 0
MHE
30%
29%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 0
MHE
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
MHE
1 - 4
GLA
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
MHE
1 - 2
HOM
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
STM
1 - 1
MHE
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |