Champions League Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Dundee vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1963 |
DUN
1 - 1
RAI
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
5 - 1
DUN
78%
14%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
40%
23%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
DUN
5 - 1
STM
74%
15%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
5 - 1
DUN
78%
14%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |