Dundee vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
MHE
5 - 3
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 1
MHE
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
5 - 2
LIV
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 4
LIV
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIV
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |