Dundee vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
VLZ
0 - 2
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MHE
0 - 3
DUN
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
GLA
1 - 0
DUN
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 0
MHE
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MHE
6 - 2
LIV
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
HIB
39%
26%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |