Dundee vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 1
HIB
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
4 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GLA
3 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCV
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
LIV
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |