Dundee vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
6º
6º
56
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
GLA
5 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
STM
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
CEL
28%
23%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
GLA
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 5
CEL
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GLA
4 - 1
KIL
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 2
KIL
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |