Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
30
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
13.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
86.5% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
6 - 0
ICT
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
BLA
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 2
DUN
12%
18%
71%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 7
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 0
HOM
17%
22%
62%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 5
TOT
13%
18%
69%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 2
LEY
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HOM
3 - 3
GLA
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |