Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 2
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 0
MHE
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
GLA
2 - 1
HOM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
KIL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |