Dundee vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
9º
1º
55
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 0
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
COV
3 - 1
DUN
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
DUN
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
RAI
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 0
HAM
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 2
GRE
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
5 - 1
GRE
54%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |