Dundee vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
5 - 0
STR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 0
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CLY
2 - 0
DUN
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 1
STJ
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
0 - 1
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CWB
1 - 3
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
ROS
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
STJ
3 - 1
GRE
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |