Dundee vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
DUN
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ROS
0 - 3
DUN
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 0
BRO
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
WHU
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 0
LEY
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
ROS
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 3
DUN
10%
18%
73%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
EAS
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |