Dundee vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
PET
2 - 1
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
DUN
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
DUN
11%
19%
71%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
EAS
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
PET
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
DUM
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 3
COV
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUN
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |