Dundee vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
HAM
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
STM
1 - 2
DUN
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
KIL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 3
DUN
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
4 - 1
MHE
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
GLA
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 1
CEL
13%
20%
66%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 0
MHE
70%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HAM
0 - 2
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |