Dundee vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ROS
1 - 1
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 1
QOS
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AIR
3 - 0
DUN
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
AYR
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RAI
1 - 1
AYR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AYR
3 - 0
QOS
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 1
AYR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |