Champions League 1/16
Global 8-5
Dundee vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1962 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
DUN
0 - 2
HOM
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
VIK
1 - 2
KOL
49%
21%
30%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
KOL
3 - 0
F95
79%
13%
9%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
ROT
3 - 1
KOL
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1962 |
KOL
1 - 2
EIN
53%
20%
27%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
M05
0 - 5
KOL
24%
22%
54%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |