Scottish Premiership Promotion Final
Global 1-1
Dundee United vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
ICT
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
ICT
0 - 1
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ICT
0 - 2
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 3
STM
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
STM
2 - 0
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MHE
1 - 1
STM
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
STM
1 - 1
STJ
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LIV
1 - 3
STM
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |