Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Dundee United vs Śląsk Wrocław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 0
DUN
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
GLA
2 - 0
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 0
MHE
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 1
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 0
DUN
42%
25%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SLA
5 - 0
ARK
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
RCH
1 - 2
SLA
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
GÓR
3 - 1
SLA
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SLA
4 - 2
GKS
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |