Dundee United vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
7º
3º
28
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
STM
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GLA
1 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
ROS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
MHE
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
GLA
6 - 0
KIL
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 0
KIL
27%
29%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 2
CEL
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
KIL
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |