Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
7º
3º
30
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
DUN
22%
27%
52%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
CEL
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MHE
4 - 3
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
HOM
1 - 0
MHE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 2
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 2
HIB
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 1
STJ
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 2
PET
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |