Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Dundee United vs Floriana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1988 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLA
48%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
MHE
1 - 2
DUN
37%
29%
35%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUN
44%
30%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1988 |
FLO
0 - 0
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1981 |
SDL
9 - 0
FLO
97%
2%
1%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
FLO
1 - 3
SDL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
INT
5 - 0
FLO
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FLO
1 - 3
INT
5%
16%
79%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |