Europa League 1/16
Global 2-3
Dundee United vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
DUN
3 - 2
AYR
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1975 |
DUN
4 - 0
KEF
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 3
FCP
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
0 - 0
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 3
FCP
19%
20%
61%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |