Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Dundee United vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
AIR
2 - 2
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
DUN
2 - 4
DUN
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 2
DUN
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
FCB
5 - 0
SEV
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
ZAR
0 - 1
FCB
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1966 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
FCB
3 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 2
DUN
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |