Dundee United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 2
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIV
40%
24%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
HOM
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DUM
1 - 1
ARB
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
AIR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |