Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Dundee United vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
STM
1 - 1
DUN
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 3
WIG
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 0
ARK
65%
21%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
URZ
1 - 0
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 3
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
AEK
2 - 1
BBU
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
AEK
1 - 0
HBS
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
AEK
3 - 0
SCH
88%
9%
4%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
AEK
2 - 1
OLP
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PAO
1 - 0
AEK
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |