Dundee United vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
7º
3º
35
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
DUN
22%
27%
52%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
CEL
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MHE
4 - 3
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
52%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
STM
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KIL
4 - 0
ABE
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 3
HIB
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
STJ
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEL
40%
24%
37%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |