Dundalk vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
10º
10º
43
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 5
SLR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
GAL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
BOH
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
WAT
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 1
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 4
WAT
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
SHE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |