Dundalk vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
9º
6º
11
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
STP
2 - 1
DUN
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
BOH
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
CAO
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
13%
22%
66%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 1
UCD
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
UCD
76%
16%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 3
SHR
13%
24%
64%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
UCD
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |