Dundalk vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
9º
6º
11
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
WEX
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
DUN
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
CAO
0 - 1
DUN
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
FIN
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DER
0 - 1
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 4
SHR
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 1
BRW
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
UCD
1 - 0
WAT
20%
20%
60%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
SHR
17%
26%
58%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 3
UCD
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |