Dundalk vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
DRO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 2
DUN
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
UCD
3 - 2
DUN
15%
23%
62%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHE
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SLR
0 - 3
DUN
28%
28%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
4 - 4
STP
30%
28%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DRO
0 - 2
STP
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STP
2 - 1
FIN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BOH
1 - 3
STP
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |