Dundalk vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 3
DUN
2%
6%
92%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
DER
0 - 4
DUN
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
4 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
GAL
0 - 3
DUN
19%
21%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 0
LIM
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
STP
0 - 1
SHE
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
STP
0 - 2
GAL
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
STP
4 - 0
FIN
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
STP
5%
12%
83%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
STP
2 - 1
FIR
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |