Dundalk vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
WEX
0 - 3
DUN
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
LON
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
STP
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
UCD
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
STP
3 - 0
BRW
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SHR
1 - 0
STP
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
STP
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
STP
7 - 0
TOL
90%
8%
2%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DER
0 - 2
STP
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |