Dundalk vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FCP
0 - 4
DUN
8%
15%
78%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
SLR
0 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
UCD
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
SHR
1 - 0
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
LIM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
STP
4 - 0
UCD
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
STP
5 - 0
UCD
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BOH
0 - 2
STP
24%
28%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 3
STP
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |