Dundalk vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 2
DRO
76%
16%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 1
GAL
66%
19%
14%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
SLR
1 - 0
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 0
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
UCD
0 - 2
DUN
33%
26%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
STP
1 - 1
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
CAO
2 - 1
STP
27%
27%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 3
STP
10%
18%
73%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
STP
2 - 1
SLR
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |