Dundalk vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
DRO
2 - 2
DUN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 0
GAL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BOH
3 - 2
DUN
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
STP
0 - 2
SLR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
BRW
0 - 1
STP
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
STP
1 - 1
CAO
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
STP
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
STP
0 - 2
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |