Champions League 1/16
Global 1-7
Dundalk vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
10 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLA
30%
23%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
GLA
6 - 1
DUN
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1968 |
DUN
2 - 1
VVD
55%
19%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
2 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
5 - 1
NAC
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 0
SPA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |