Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 0-9
Dundalk vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUB
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
NKV
5 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
SHR
2 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
SHR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MON
0 - 3
DUN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
HNS
1 - 3
NKV
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
NKV
2 - 1
RIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
NKV
5 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NKV
2 - 0
OSI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NKV
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |