Champions League 1/16
Global 1-5
Dundalk vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.7%
68.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
TOT
1 - 0
DUN
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
DUN
1 - 1
TOT
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
DUN
4 - 0
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FRA
2 - 1
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
DUN
0 - 0
FCP
18%
25%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
3 - 3
LUT
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
4 - 3
NTT
69%
20%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
ARS
0 - 2
LIV
35%
28%
37%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
BIR
0 - 0
LIV
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
LIV
2 - 0
WBA
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |