Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Dundalk vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
6 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
10 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLA
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1976 |
HKS
1 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HKS
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
HKS
3 - 0
LIE
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1976 |
LIE
1 - 0
HKS
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
HKS
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |