Dundalk vs Galway United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
10º
10º
42
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 1
DUN
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 2
DRO
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
WAT
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 0
GAL
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
6 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
WAT
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GAL
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
BOH
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |