Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Dundalk vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FRA
2 - 1
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
DUN
0 - 0
FCP
18%
25%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
FCP
1 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
DUN
0 - 0
CEL
14%
19%
67%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 2
DUN
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FRA
2 - 1
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FRA
2 - 0
KAA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 0
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1981 |
FRA
3 - 1
FHH
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1981 |
KRR
0 - 0
FRA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |