FAI Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Dundalk vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
3 - 3
DUN
22%
23%
54%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
SLR
2 - 1
DUN
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
DUN
12%
21%
68%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
DUN
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
5 - 1
SMA
90%
8%
2%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
3 - 3
DUN
22%
23%
54%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 2
BOH
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
FIN
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
2 - 1
SHR
17%
25%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 0
DER
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |