Dundalk vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRW
1 - 3
DUN
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAO
2 - 0
DUN
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
DRO
0 - 2
DUN
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
UCD
80%
14%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
8 - 1
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
FIN
2 - 1
DER
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
FIN
2 - 0
LIM
35%
25%
39%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 0
FIN
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
FIN
2 - 1
UCD
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
UCD
0 - 1
FIN
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |