Dundalk vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
9º
6º
41
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 0
DUN
23%
28%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
SLR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 4
SHR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 2
BOH
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SLR
1 - 1
DRO
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
DRO
1 - 3
STP
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
DRO
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 1
DRO
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |