Dundalk vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
STP
1 - 0
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 2
BOH
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 1
GAL
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
SLR
1 - 1
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
SLR
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
STP
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
LIM
0 - 4
DER
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
DER
3 - 0
MAL
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 11 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
DRO
1 - 0
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |