Dundalk vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
SHR
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
SHE
4 - 0
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
SLR
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 1
DUN
45%
23%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
UCD
1 - 1
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
DER
0 - 3
DRO
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
SLR
4 - 0
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
CAO
2 - 2
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |