Dunbeholden vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
7º
41
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
DFC
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
DFC
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 2
CAV
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 4
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FSC
0 - 2
DFC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MPA
1 - 0
WAT
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
CMF
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |